Monday, December 08, 2008

More on shooting percentage

Just for yuks, I went back and looked at last season to test out the theory of whether you have to shoot well to win. Of course, "well" is a relative term, but as it turns out, there is no doubt that when we shot well, we won more.

Here's each game from last season, with wins in orange and losses in black. You can look at the data here.

A few points.

  • When we shot above our season average, we were 10-5.
  • We were 7-1 above 50% (but I suspect most teams would be)
  • We were 3-4 between the average and 50%. (To me, this is the key measure. We win when we shoot well and lose when we shoot lousy. But, how about when we shoot pretty good--above average, but not scorching? And here is your answer).
  • We were 3-12 below our season average.
  • When we shot below 50%, we were 6-16. In other words, we only consistently won with a FG% above 50.
  • In fact, we shot below 40% ten times....I don't care what kind of defense you play, that's tough to work with.
  • It is interesting that we won the two games where we shot the absolute worst on the season. I remember a nice win at AA against OU, and I don't really recall much about the EIU game.

Opponent FG%
Morehead 0.667
Ball 0.561
UT 0.542
Oakland 0.542
Buffalo 0.538
Furman 0.509
Kent 0.508
Belmont 0.5
CMU 0.491
EMU 0.49
Detroit 0.481
Cincy 0.464
Duquesne 0.464
Indiana State 0.463
Miami 0.455
-----------Season Average---------
Kent 0.422
NIU 0.414
Akron 0.412
WMU 0.409
Miami 0.4
N. Colorado 0.396
Illinois State 0.396
Toledo 0.382
Western Carolina 0.375
Temple 0.359
Ohio 0.356
Akron 0.333
Buffalo 0.328
Ohio 0.302
Eastern Illinois 0.291

1 comment :

Anonymous said...

Very cool blog you have going here. It's nice to be able to keep up with BGSU athletics when you're not living in the area. Keep up the good work!