Just for yuks, I went back and looked at last season to test out the theory of whether you have to shoot well to win. Of course, "well" is a relative term, but as it turns out, there is no doubt that when we shot well, we won more.
Here's each game from last season, with wins in orange and losses in black. You can look at the data here.
A few points.
- When we shot above our season average, we were 10-5.
- We were 7-1 above 50% (but I suspect most teams would be)
- We were 3-4 between the average and 50%. (To me, this is the key measure. We win when we shoot well and lose when we shoot lousy. But, how about when we shoot pretty good--above average, but not scorching? And here is your answer).
- We were 3-12 below our season average.
- When we shot below 50%, we were 6-16. In other words, we only consistently won with a FG% above 50.
- In fact, we shot below 40% ten times....I don't care what kind of defense you play, that's tough to work with.
- It is interesting that we won the two games where we shot the absolute worst on the season. I remember a nice win at AA against OU, and I don't really recall much about the EIU game.
Indiana State 0.463
N. Colorado 0.396
Illinois State 0.396
Western Carolina 0.375
Eastern Illinois 0.291