Sunday, January 06, 2013

Rorie Will Not Remain with Falcon Basketball Team

Quick note, the Blade is reporting that Desmond Rorie will no longer be with the Falcon basketball team.

Rorie redshirted last year and had not seen any acton this year as well.  He was a HS teammate of Jehvon Clarke at Canton Timken.  At 6'9", he was one of those big men who didn't really get any numbers in HS but had the physical skills where you thought you might be able to make it a project. Here's what Coach Orr said at the time.

“Desmond is one of the most athletic big men in the state,” Orr said. “He runs the floor well, is a good shot blocker, is mobile, and has huge upside – I think more than any big guy in the state of Ohio. If he continues to work, he can be a presence and can add size alongside freshman Cameron Black.”

Anyway, it didn't work out.  All the best to Desmond in the future.

Friday, January 04, 2013

Game By Game Predictions, Reality Prediction Part II




So, part II means we look at the MAC results and see how my predictions for each game performed.  Rememeber, all these picks are done before the season starts.

In general, I did pretty well.  Note this state

I see us going 8-4 and 6-2 with a 2nd place finish in the East.  Key wins we need to hold onto are Miami and EMU, and if the OU or Toledo game can go differently, this team could really achieve.
Which is pretty much what happened.  The records and the division finish were, in fact, right on.  And, in fact, I picked 10 of the 12 games correctly.  My only misses were that BG won @OU and lost at home to Kent, which I thought would go the opposite way.  But, still, most of the games went pretty much as I expected.

I don't go back and check, so this is probably the season that unfolded most in line with expectations in a long time.  There will be more season reviews coming up, but for now, I think this is a good snapshot.  BG won the games you'd expect them to and lost the games you'd expect them to.

@Florida     LOSS    RIGHT
Idaho    WIN   RIGHT
@Toledo    LOSS   RIGHT
@Va Tech   LOSS   RIGHT
Rhode Island  WIN   RIGHT
@Akron   WIN   RIGHT
Miami    WIN    RIGHT
@UMass    WIN   RIGHT
EMU     WIN   RIGHT
@OU   LOSS  WRONG
Kent   WIN   WRONG
Buffalo (Neutral field)   WIN   RIGHT

Thursday, January 03, 2013

Parade All-American to Transfer to BGSU to play football

The Blade is reporting that Gehrig Dieter is transferring to Bowling Green to play football.

He's from South Bend and he played last year at SMU, where he made 3 starts and caught 10 passes for the Mustangs.  Dude was the 4A player of the year in Indiana, and had 437 yards receiving in one game,which is reported to be a national record.

From the Blade story:

He also holds Indiana state records for most receiving yards in a career (4,326), a season (2,171), and in a 4A State playoff game (168) as well as for TDs in a career (49).
Following his senior season, Dieter was named All-Indiana first team and was a Parade All-American while also receiving first-team All-American by MAXPreps, second-team All-American from SI.com and third-team All-American from ESPN.

He was the SI HS player of the week, and that write up is included here.

That's pretty good, right?  Before heading to SMU, he had offers from almost every team in the MAC and was a 2-star recruit on ESPN.com.

He will sit out next season, per NCAA rules, and be eligible to play in the Fall of 2014.  According to this, he cited a lack of playing time for the transfer.  His didn't get targeted much after dropping a pass against TCU.

Welcome to the Falcons, Gehrig.

ICSTR Military Bowl



Their stay at the Centre extended by weeks, the Monks of the ICSTR finished their noble work and headed back to the provinces, walking with asceticism across the snowy fields.

The special teams for the Military Bowl were probably better than expected.  Even the punt game is better in retrospect than it was on first look.

For the game, BG was +2, which might be a little bit of a surprise.  Just like the two QB fumbles cancelled each other out, the two blocked punts also cancel each other out.  Schmeidebusch had one good punt and a couple inside the 20 and BG had 2 nice kickoff returns.  Anyway, BG for the game finished +2.

It was BG's first game in positive territory since the OU game.  We'll have more in the special teams review, but BG ended up positive in 6 of its 13 games and even in one.  The best special teams game was OU and the worst was Kent.

BG Positive Plays (+9)

KO Touchback
BG 47 yard net punt
BG blocks punt (+3)
BG punt to SJS 10
BG KO return to own 39
BG punt to SJS 15
BG KO return to own 39

BG Negative plays (-7)

BG 15 yard net punt
BG KO return to own 19
SJS KO return to own 35
BG 17 yard net punt
SJS blocks BG punt (-3)

San Jose Positive plays (+5)


BG KO return to own 19
SJS KO return to own 35
SJS blocks BG punt (+3)

San Jose Negative Plays (-6)


BG blocks punt (-3)
BG KO return to own 39
SJS net punt 26 yards
BG KO return to own 39 

Wednesday, January 02, 2013

My MAC Predictions Collide with Reality




So, back in August, before anything started, I made my picks for how the MAC would turn out for football. Now, it is time to pay the piper and review/laugh at what we came up with.  Below are my picks, what actually happened, and my excuses.

East:
1.  Ohio
Reality:  3rd

OU was hamstrung by injuries or this might have come true.

2.  BG
Reality:  2nd

Boo.
Yah.

3.  Miami
Reality: 5th

I thought they would be better and they were, but they didn't make as much progress as I expected.

4.  Kent
Reality:  1st

Swiiiinnnnnnnnnnnnng and a miss.
I didn't like Kent's offense and they ended up scoring 35 points a game.

Nostra-freaking-damous.

I did say that I thought Hazell was going to be good and he was.

5.  Buffalo
Reality:  4th

They were a little better than I expected but this one was pretty much on.

6.  Akron
Reality: 7th

They were who we thought they were.

7.  UMass
Reality:  6th

FBS Cherry-buster keeps them out of last.  NY Times says, WTF Dude?

West

1. WMU
Reality:  5th

The Hindenburg of predictions.  I thought they had the right games at home and they were finally going to break through and win.  They went 2-6.

2.  UT
Reality:  3rd

Two losses to the two teams that finished ahead of them doom Rockets.

3.  NIU
Reality:  1

My pre-season comment was about their "unknown" QB.

4.  CMU
Reality:  4th

How you like me now?

5.  Ball State
Reality:  2nd

Ball State is an up and comer in an upwardly mobile MAC.  They made more improvement than I expected, to be sure.

6.  EMU
Reality:  6th

So obvious it barely even counts as right.

Tuesday, January 01, 2013

Military Bowl Benchmarks



Here's the Military Bowl report, based on the statistical benchmarks that we track throughout the season.

First, BG's offense didn't do everything poorly.  They were decent (if not great) on 3rd down, took care of the ball well (in the big picture) and had a nice redzone average.  Yet, the two red zone misses in the first half were very costly...it was that kind of game, the offense had to make every play, it seems, and they made far less.

The yardage numbers are less kind.  BG ended up with decent running numbers thanks to the Pettigrew run but the passing game was anemic.

BG made a first down on only 18% of its plays, whereas the average team in a MAC conference game last season made 29%. In a related note, BG had 28% of its plays be 3rd down plays, also a situation where you are not getting offensive production.

For the defense, the running defense was successful, obviously, and even if you take away those gifts on the reverse, it was good, though not quite as gaudy.  And, note, that the reverses are not pure gifts. They were trying reverses (a risky play) because they couldn't get anything going the regular way.

Anyway, the passing is another story.  When you get 8.8 yards per pass attempt with sacks counting against passing, that's just very good.  The yards per reception, as it turns out, was good but not great, and the completion percentage was very good--which of course plays into the average per attempt.

BG's defense excelled on 3rd down, which probably kept us in the game.  The Spartans did well in the red zone, however.

Each team made one costly turnover.

Anyway, I think the graphic tells a pretty solid story.  BG did not get the offensive production it needed to win, and as well as our defense played, we didn't have the ability to keep them contained for the full 60 minutes.

Happy New Year to the Falcon Nation!




A new year is born...