Sunday, October 25, 2026

Past and Future Opponent Land

Sep. 5 Tarleton State Texans (8-0)  Beat West Georgia #1 in FCS

Sep. 12 Nebraska (5-2) Idle

Sep. 19 Iowa State (3-4) Smoked by Arizona

Sep. 26 USF Bulls (5-2) Idle

Oct. 3 Miami (Ohio) RedHawks (5-3) scored in last 2 minutes to beat CMU

Oct. 10 Sacramento State Hornets (1-7)   Lost to Ball State.  First eliminated MAC team

Oct. 17 Ball State Cardinals (3-5) Beat Sacramento State

Oct. 24 Buffalo Bulls (5-3) They beat us

Oct. 31 Western Michigan Broncos (5-3*) Lost to UT

Nov. 10 Kent State Golden Flashes (3-5) Wagon Wheel Secured!

Nov. 20 Toledo Rockets (6-2) Beat WMU

Nov. 28 UMass Minutemen (4-4).  Lost to UConn

MAC title race is typically hot.  Halfway through (mostly), OU is 4-0, and UT, WMU, UB, and Miami are 3-1.


MAC vs. FCS: 12-1

MAC vs: P4:  1-17

MAC vs G?: 6-11

BG Still Not Good Enough, loses to UB

Watching a UB back shred a BG defense felt unpleasantly familiar.  This time it was Messiah Burch, who went for 184.  Other times it was Patterson for 298, Patterson for 301, McDuffie for 166 and Washington for 155....players are different--on both sides of the ball--but the pattern mysteriously continues.

This was a typical 2026 BG game: close enough to make us think we're not that far away and forget we are 2-6 and 2-2.  And, it ended with BG running down the field to catch up in a maddeningly bizarre 2-minute drill....and failing.  (We have had some good ones....but this was incompetent.)  And there were times when the offense drove the ball Woody Hayes-style and looked good, then moments when they looked completely lost.

The first half went really well.  BG had forced UB to punt 3 times, and scored twice, once on a 9-minute drive.  With 2 left, BG was up 14-7 and I tweeted the following.


I knew better.  I did.  But I really felt we were playing well, in a style we wanted, and in a way we could replicate.

 And then...Off a 29-yard Kingston punt, UB drove 63 yards on 9 plays.  The key play, as I was taught at BGSU, was foreshadowing.  BG had been containing Wright with a disciplined pass rush, but it broke down, and he ran for 39 yards to the BG 14.  They scored a couple of plays later on 3rd and 10, their second 3rd-down conversion of the drive, and it was tied heading into the half.

BG had the ball and went 3-and-out.  But they had one last chance to control the game when Myles Bradley forced a sack, Eriq George recovered the fumble, and BG had the ball on the UB 30 and scored three plays later, hitting Amarchee on the same play Kastantin overthrew last week.  Wide open again.  BG led 21-14.

Everything else from here is no good.

UB drove 75 yards in 6 plays.  Not one third down on the drive. Overall, 2:02. Burch with 39 yards on the drive and the score.  21-21,

Hey, it's still tied!  BG comes out, gives up 14 yards over 1st and 2nd down sacks, and Kingston nails a 47-yard punt to put them at their own 37.  They went on a long drive, 12 plays, 10 of them runs.  Yet, they converted a 3rd and 2 with a pass.  Finally, it was 2nd and 4 on the 11, and George took Messiah down for a 2-yard loss.  Wright was incomplete on 3rd down, and UB kicked a FG.  24-21.  Could have been worse.

BG had a chance to get back, but went 3-and-out.  And then Burch took it 73 yards to the house to make it 31-21.

BG gets the ball with 12 left in the game.  Need a score. Instead, on 3rd down, Kastantin throws an inexplicable INT into four defenders. They start on our 38.  Defense gets the stop, and BG is kept alive when UB's probable all-MAC K missed a 47-yarder.

Give JK credit.  He rallies.  He moved us down the field, a 23rd yarder to Jacon-Duffy and a 21-yarder to Kemp.   BG has it 3rd and 2 on the UB 8--obviously, a TD is key here--but the FB dive only gets 1 yard and BG hit a FG to make it 31-24.  At least it's one score.

UB gets the ball with 3:33 left.  Obviously, they think they can run the clock out.  They convert a 3rd and 7 (that hurts) with 3:07 left and then end up 4th and 1 at our 37.  They go for it, Wright tries to go up the middle, and George and Hines hit him for a loss, and BG had a last life, but with 1:02 to play.

The rest is best forgotten.  Kastantin scrambled up the middle twice for 7 yards that ate up :41. I almost felt it was like a basketball team encouraging the ball to be thrown into the corner.  He runs up the middle against 7-8 men dropping; how bad can it be?  BG did convert the first down, and then it was 1st and 10 from the UB 42, and BG threw the next pass 3 yards and in-bounds, and the game ended.

That was bad.

BG had periods where they ran the ball well, but you can see that UB had a significant edge. BG was clearly better in the pass game, but UB had probably their best pass game of the year. BG lost the turnover and explosive play battle, and UB's special teams were stronger than BG's, as expected.

Why do we alternate kickoff guys?

Red zone and 3rd-down conversions were a wash.  UB made some big ones, to be sure.

There were no real individual standouts for BG on offense.  Pringle, Pascal, and George had big games individually on defense.

Bowling Green vs. Buffalo

October 24, 2026 | Final: Buffalo 31, Bowling Green 24

Statistic Bowling Green Buffalo
Yards per rush 3.446.12
Yards per completion 11.429.77
Completion percentage 70.4%61.9%
Yards per play 5.416.10
Third-down conversions 8/15 (53.3%)8/15 (53.3%)
Red-zone points per trip 5.676.00
Turnovers 21
Explosive plays 58
Explosive-play yards 124221
Special Teams Index 0+3
Penalties (number-yards) 2-170-0

Explosive plays: rushes of 10+ yards and completed passes of 20+ yards. Special Teams Index uses the BG Football zero-based scoring system.


So, we are playing out the string.  I think I had us 4-8, and that is possible

Thursday, October 22, 2026

UB Preview

The beat goes on....two teams will play in Buffalo Saturday with one loss each in MAC play.  The loser will go from slim chances at the MAC title to none.  The other will stay alive, on paper.

Pete Lembo is coaching the Bulls.  He's our old friend from Ball State back in the Clawson era.  He's a solid coach, went 9-4 in his first year in Buffalo, and then 5-7 last year and 4-3/2-1 thus far this season. 

They won a close one in the FCS game, lost @FIU and @Penn State, won a close one over Robert Morris, lost by 3 to WMU, shocked Toledo, and then beat UMass in OT.  They have had 4 games come down to 3 points.

UB has won 6 of the last 8 in the series.  Leipold delivered 3 straight blowouts, Linguist had a blow out and BG lost 28-3 last year.  As for that one, it wasn't pretty.  BG didn't score until the last quarter.  Drew Pyne made his last appearance in a Falcon uniform, and Najm finished the game. BG managed only 216 yards in that one.

MAC Leaders:

  • Chance Morrow is the #2 WR with 37 receptions #3 in yards, #1 in TD (6) at 11.9 per reception, which is nothing huge.
  • Phillip Folmar is #4 in KOR (24.7) and Miles Greer is #8 in punt returns (7.6).
  • Ethan Stumpf is #2 in punting.  He has 44 punts and 12 of them are over 50.
  • Oliver Hautanean is #1 in FGs, 12 of 15 with a long of 52.
  • SaVeon Brown is #4 in tackles.
  • And, finally, their RB.  Messiah Burch is an actual Bell Bull.  He has 118 carries, #2 in the conference.  He has 5.6 ypc, which is #5 among backs with high attempt numbers.  He leads with 661 yards.

Which leads us to the preview:



So, some keys.  

UB has lost 7 fumbles. At -4, it's unusual to have a good record as they do.

BG's defense is at the bottom of the MAC.  Now, we've been gashed by some P4 teams and showed some ability to get stops against G6 and MAC teams.  And then we got pushed around by Ball State last week.  UB runs the ball a lot--more than we do.  And they have a lead back who is very effective and used to work.  Which team shows up for BG might decide it.

BG's offense is pretty anemic. UB is not great defensively.  They can be run against.  BG needs to establish the run to get the offense going, if for no other reason than we are not going to give up on running either way.

QB play could be key.  UB's QB1 is out for the season and QB2 has not been great.  If BG can control the line, it will make it tough.

UB's special teams are good, so BG has to hold their own there.

UB is a 3.5 point favorite, which is essentially home field.  Last week was a disappointment, and this week is harder.

Sunday, October 18, 2026

Past and Future Opponent Land

 Sep. 5 Tarleton State Texans (7-0)  Beat Central Arkansas.  #2 FCS team

Sep. 12 Nebraska (5-2) Lost to Oregon

Sep. 19 Iowa State (3-3) Idle

Sep. 26 USF Bulls (5-2) Beat Kent 29-2

Oct. 3 Miami (Ohio) RedHawks (4-3) Beat Akron

Oct. 10 Sacramento State Hornets (1-6)   Lost to OU, chartered them home

Oct. 17 Ball State Cardinals (2-5) Ugh

Oct. 24 Buffalo Bulls (4-3) beat UMass in OT

Oct. 31 Western Michigan Broncos (5-2*) Beat CMU

Nov. 10 Kent State Golden Flashes (2-5) Lost to USF

Nov. 20 Toledo Rockets (5-2) Beat EMU

Nov. 28 UMass Minutemen (4-3).  Lost to UB


MAC vs. FCS: 12-1

MAC vs: P4:  1-17

MAC vs G?: 6-10

Sadness Accrues. Hard But Fair.

Sadness Accrues

That one will leave a mark.  What a shame.  Beautiful day. Despite being 2-4, despite OSU playing Indiana, we put 20K in the seats for that game.  And it was pure #maction.  A wild and entertaining game.  Or, more accurately, a wild and entertaining finish, if you were anything but a BG fan.  It was heartbreak for us.

And yet, when the wash settles, we lost at home to a 1-5 team when we had three walk-off chances on defense and spit the bit twice.  To be who we hoped to be, we really needed this one, and we did not play well enough to win.  Coach says we need to execute, which is true.  I think this team is flawed on offense and can't win consistently in the trenches.  You can only execute so much.  And play calling...sure, but I don't think the offense has enough players. It's not fair to ask your defense to bail you out every week, and the defense got bullied in the trenches, too.

As Coach said, it was "hard but fair."

The two teams traded punts to start.  Starting from their own 9, BSU went on a 10-play, 69-yard drive that lasted nearly 6 minutes.  (This was a game of long drives and running clocks).  They converted a 3rd-and-11, then were on the BG 22; BG snuffed Luster up the middle, and BSU had a FG to go up 3-0.

BG recovered its own fumble off the kickoff.  They say fumble recoveries are mostly luck, so note that BG recovered its own fumble twice. There is 3:15 left in the first.  BG made 2 first downs before being forced to punt from the BSU 36.

Here's a hidden thing.  The teams traded punts.  BSU had a 56-yard punt.  BG had a 34-yard punt.  So, the Cards are on their own 37.  A 29-yard completion got them to the 8, and Luster ran it in from there, making it 10-0 with 7:07 left in the 2nd.

The high point of the game came on the next play, as Kastantin hit Ridley on an inside screen, and he went 77 yards for a score to make it 10-7.

You are hoping to see that turn the momentum in BG's favor, and the Falcons did get a 3-and-out.  Then, they started on their own 25 with 5:11 to play...and took an 11-play drive...to cover....44 yards.  That's right, 4:22 of possession netted BG a made 49-yard FG attempt.  (and a 3rd down fumble).

OK.  Tied, BG gets the ball.  BG drove to midfield, took a sack, and then punted BSU to their own 4.  Even now, you have to feel like we are in good shape.  Except we weren't.  Ball State took a 10-play drive, covered 96 yards, and scored 6 minutes later to make it 17-10. They faced ZERO third downs.  Luster scored on a 28-yard scramble.

Obviously, you don't like this team playing from behind.  BG hit Jacon-Duffy for 24 and got a roughing the passer call and then a 10-yard Dendy run and BG was at their 18. Then BG missed two opportunities at QB.  On 2nd down, Kastaintin overthrew a wide-open TD to Amarchree, and on 3rd down he threw into an area with at least 3 defenders and underthrew it at that; it was a red zone turnover.

We're in the 4th now.  BSU went on a 7:00 drive, this time converting 3 third downs before the defense stalled the drive and BSU punted into the end zone.

From their 20, with 8:36, you see something important about Kastaintin.  Right after those two poor passes, he came out spinning it and running it.  He hit Marchree for 6, ran for 9, hit Sharp for 19, and hit Dendy for 6.  It's 2nd and 4 from the BSU 35 with 5:30 left.  Dendy gets hit by an unblocked defender for a 3-yard loss; Kastaintin ran for 5, and it was 4th and 2 with 4:12 left on the 33.  

Play of the game, obviously.  They have Kemp in.  Everyone thinks run, but they sent Kemp wide left, hit him with a pass, and he gained 15 yards.  Another Dendy 3-yard loss, but Scoby gets it to the 8, and on 3rd-and-goal, Kastaintin hits Jacon-Duffy for the score.  17-17 with 1:12 left to play.

You're thinking, OK.  OT.  On BSU's next play, Luster ran up the middle for 10 yards, but Pascal poked the ball free, and Banks had his second scoop-and-score in consecutive weeks, and BG was up 24-17 with 1:01 left and a chance to absolutely STEAL THIS GAME.

Alas. Starting on their own 22, BSU marched down the field.  A 19-yard completion.  From the BG 45, they go deep and have separation, so BG interferes.  They end up on the BG 20 with :05 left.  BG makes the stop--FROM 20 YARDS--and the game is over.

I see lots of teams send the house in this situation; BG rushed four with six guys lined up on the goal line.  Luster dropped back.  The pocket narrowed, but he still had space to escape.  He drifted to the left.  Hohlt ripped right across the face of the BG defense and found half the end zone completely unguarded, despite BG being in prevent.

So, onto OT.  BG scored on 4 plays and had the lead.  BG had a 4th and 1 from out 16 (walk-off opportunity #2) and converted.  They ran to the one and scored on the next play. The Cards lined up to go for 2. Luster drops back; Pringle rushes up the middle, gets grabbed, and is delayed.  Luster scrambles right and throws the ball into a tight window to Scherle, who makes a great play to keep his feet in.  Sanders Ellis was there (I mean, right there), but he didn't turn his head until the ball was essentially there.

2026 BOWLING GREEN FOOTBALL · POSTGAME REPORT

Bowling Green vs. Ball State

October 17, 2026 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium · Overtime
BG 31  –  BALL STATE 32
Game statisticBowling GreenBall State
Yards per rush2.805.71
Yards per completion12.6512.19
Completion percentage70.8%66.7%
Yards per play5.316.59
Third-down conversions5/12 (41.7%)5/12 (41.7%)
Red-zone points per trip4.677.33
Turnovers11
Explosive plays (count)412
Explosive-play yards121213
Special Teams Index+7−2
Penalties (number–yards)5–606–57

A few notes:

  • The key to the game was Keldric Luster, who, according to the coach, got healthy this week after being injured.  He showed running he has not shown this year, with 125 yards on 17 carries and no sacks.  Further, outside the pocket, he bought time and made plays, including the two biggest plays of the game.  If BG can keep him in the pocket, they win. 
  • BG was beaten in the trenches on both side. They held BG's top two backs to 3.7 yards per carry, and they sacked Kastantin 4 times.  BG had 215 passing yards, but if you subtract the pass to Ridley and the sacks, they averaged 4.4 yards per dropback.  Meanwhile, TJ Horton averaged 5.1 yards per carry, and Luster wasn't sacked.
  • Even so, BG had a chance to steal the game.  The 2-pt play?  I think it was a pretty good play by BSU.  But the 4th-down play...that was a complete lack of discipline and cannot happen when you are in prevent mode. The whole concept is to trade pressure for coverage.
  • BG's special teams were good.  They had a big KO return by Kemp, stuck BSU inside the 20 3 times, and made a long FG, getting touchbacks on 3 of the 5 kickoff attempts.
So, what for 3 games looked to be a team turning itself around is now a team more or less playing out the string.  In the past, this was a developmental opportunity, but who knows how many of these guys are already looking to the portal.  

But Coach was right.  This was a fair outcome. And that's probably the saddest way to look at it.  On to Buffalo and then WMU. 

There's a huge amount of noise out there.  Part of it is people who think Loeffler was underappreciated. (Reminder, we didn't fire Loeffler). And part of it is people watching what's happening.  I will say this...the MAC is creaking, and this might be the Last Dance. There are haves and have-nots, and structurally we are a have-not.  And we're not the best have-not right now, and the vector doesn't appear to point there. (For example, he's not playing a 4th-string QB this year.)  I'm not ready to give up on  this staff...but there's little to point to right now.

Friday, October 16, 2026

Ball State Preview

The rain should clear out, and we're looking at a cool, dry day at the Doyt.  With the OSU-IU game of the century starting at the same time, I am not optimistic about a crowd, but I'll be there. 

Ball State has a story not unlike BG. This was a proud program for many years... after the Brady Hoke years, they fell into an inevitable Stan Parris collapse, and then Pete Lembo brought them back and won 10 games in 2013.  Lembo was reputed to be the choice at Wake until Clawson upset NIU and snatched the job.  Since that 2013 season, the Cards have had only one winning season, and that was the COVID season.  In '24, they fired Mike Neu (alumni hire) and brought in Mike Uremovich, who is 3-7 in MAC play in 1+ years. He was the head coach at Butler until coming to Muncie.

BG has won 9 of the last 10 in the series, dating back to Gary Blackney.  The only win was at BGSU, when Lembo beat Babers in his first year. BG is a 6.5-point favorite.

Schedule-wise, Ball State has played a tougher schedule than BG...losing to OSU, Northwestern, and getting smoked by Liberty.  Their one win was Stony Brook.  They lost by 13 to Kent and 15 to UT.

Numbers below are for all games.  But BG's numbers are up since MAC play started, and BSU's haven't.  (Below are my fancy AI-assisted 25 questions I have done over the years, just formatted nicely.)

I think we start with the idea that Ball State has really not stopped anyone except Stony Brook.  They give up 5.8 yards per rush....BG should be able to run the ball against them. Hopefully, the unit is gaining a little confidence and competence now that the P4 teams are gone.  BG should also be able to throw the ball against Ball State. It isn't looking too windy.

BSU is a little better on offense, but not great and terrible on 3rd down.  They are last in the MAC in sack percentage, which is an excellent weakness for BG's defense, which is great at rushing the QB.  BG's defense has been its calling card, and there's every reason to think the defense should be able to set the tone.

Ball State (aka Punter U) has the top net punting in the MAC, while BG is last.  On paper, every exchange of punts will be -11.1 yards for BG.  They have had some decent punt returns.  BG has had outstanding FG kicking and is consistently getting the ball into the end zone on kickoffs.


So here we go.  Anything but a win will be extremely disappointing.






Tuesday, October 13, 2026

George Presser

 He had nothing very interesting to say.  Cliff Copse had asked a couple of weeks ago why we weren't passing, and George said it was because we couldn't protect.  Cliff followed up to ask what had changed with the offensive line to allow us to pass more, which was cheeky.

Anyway, his ultimate point was that we can't decide we have made it.  This will be interesting. Even with Loeffler, we had terrible teams (Jinks, bad) who would win one game, have no reason whatsoever to be overconfident, and then blow a tire next time out,

Can BG keep improving while winning... we'll see.

The biggest news of the week came from this. (He was not asked about it Monday).



Coach George brought the team over in shifts to see his Heisman Trophy.  Nice thrill for the boys.  This picture, posted by BG football...raced across the country on account of the...uh...modest home where Coach George and the Heisman Trophy reside.

It was...first and before anything else, interpreted as a lack of commitment to the BG program.  Pat Forde has a saying that sports make smart people dumb.  I know it does to me sometimes.  The fact is, we've got decades without having a coach who planned on staying here...maybe Doyt Perry...I have no idea what his mindset was, but he did turn the Big 10 down and eventually lived out his life in BG.

The others...Clawson, Meyer, Babers, Jinks, Loeffler...they all saw it as a stepping stone.  And there's nothing wrong with that.  Some had families and might have lived in a bigger house, but none of them bought that house as a long-term investment at BG. Meyer had a big house... bye-bye.

I believe Eddie George is committed to Bowling Green, but I suspect he doesn't plan to live here forever.

Also, with the way coaches are fired today, I don't blame a coach for being careful.  Some of you wanted George fired LAST YEAR.

For good reason, I suspect that he views this as his forever home.  And I don't care at all.