Sunday, September 13, 2026

Past and Future Opponent Land

Sep. 5 Tarleton State Texans (2-0)  Beat McNeese State

Sep. 12 Nebraska (2-0) Beat us

Sep. 19 Iowa State (1-1) Lost to Iowa

Sep. 26 USF Bulls (2-0) Rallied to beat Army

Oct. 3 Miami (Ohio) RedHawks (1-1) Smoked Holy Cross

Oct. 10 Sacramento State Hornets (1-2) Lost big to Fresno State

Oct. 17 Ball State Cardinals (1-1) Beat Stony Brook

Oct. 24 Buffalo Bulls (1-1) Lost to FIU

Oct. 31 Western Michigan Broncos (1-1)  Beat Monmouth

Nov. 10 Kent State Golden Flashes (1-1) Beat Woffrd

Nov. 20 Toledo Rockets (1-1) Beat Central Connecticut State

Nov. 28 UMass Minutemen (2-0).  Beat Sacred Heart


MAC vs. FCS: 10-1

MAC vs: P4:  1-9

MAC vs G?: 1-4

Nebraska Threshes Bowling Green

Well, that's not good at all.  I know, Nebraska is in the Big 10.  And I know this game is set up to lose. Still, Nebraska is not a powerhouse Big Ten team and we were thought to be 25 point underdogs.  We have 4 times (I think) post-Jinks won against teams when we were that kind of dog.  Further, we have had some tough battles in P4-5 games that later made us wonder why we couldn't beat Kent.

This was not that.  We doubled the point spread, and were beaten as badly as you can be in the first half of the game.  We did put together a nice drive in the 3rd quarter, but the 4th picked back up again for Big Red and the final was 56-7.  We were thumped.  For the first half, it felt like the Memphis game in Jinks' 1st season, when we gave up 70 two games in a row.  At the time, Jinks told his staff "they were lucky to still be working."

No point in going through the game narrative that we usually do.  Or even the stats, which I will anyway.   The special teams matrix is based on my system I used a few years ago, but got tired of calculating each week.  Now, AI can do it for me.  (It's a zero-based system with points for positive plays and negative points for negative plays, but average plays (like a 30-yard FG) are 0.  Full rubric here.)  The most significant special teams play was the blocked punt, where Coach said Kingston was just too slow getting the ball out of there.

Statistic Bowling Green Nebraska
Yards per rush2.77.8
Yards per completion8.410.8
Completion %62.5%81.3%
Yards per play3.58.3
Third-down conversions2/12 (16.7%)5/8 (62.5%)
Red-zone efficiency1/1 (100%)4/4 (100%)
Turnovers21
Special Teams Index-3+4
Explosive plays412
Yards on explosive plays60289

No surprises here.  BG had a good completion percentage but were forced to work close to the line of scrimmage.

Coach George looked a little shell-shocked in the post-game presser.  He did not have his usual swagger, that is for sure.  He said the usual things...we will get it together, etc.  I swear he said "it's always darkest before the dawn," which is never something you want to hear.  Also, Nebraska pressured us up the middle, and he mentioned specifically that we had trouble at center and at guard.  That will need to be fixed, because every team will pressure us right up the middle.

So on we go.  It's dark, Coach was right about that.  It's Iowa State, South Florida and the Miami...an 0-5 start is certainly very possible.  Which makes 6-6, you know, hard to see.

Friday, September 11, 2026

Nebraska Preview

Picked #11 in the Big Ten. 

Nebraska, 14-13 at half with OU.  35-8 in the second half for 49-21 final.

Here's a quick run down on key sacks.  Explosion plays are 10+ running and 20+ passing.

Mostly, you see the kind of thing you'd expect in a 49-21 game.  OU did not run effectively.  Their passing netted some yards on completed passes, but their overall completion percentage was poor.  They had 4.7 yards per play which is not great.

Meanwhile, the Huskers had big numbers.  Almost 6 per rush, 15 per completion, which is a lot and consistent with 56% completion. Overall, 7.1 is a good day's work.  They were 9/15 on 3rd/4th down and didn't turn the ball over.

The scary thing is the explosive plays.  Tarleton had 7.  Nebraska had 15 against OU for 325 yards, likely more than we will get in the entire game.  This is the advantage of the second--BG absolutely has to keep the lid on these big plays.  Handling the everyday plays will be tough enough.

StatisticOhioNebraska
Yards per rush4.25.9
Yards per completion11.715.3
Completion %43.8%56.3%
Yards per play4.77.1
Third-down conversions6/15 (40.0%)9/15 (60.0%)
Red-zone efficiency2/2 (100%)4/4 (100%)
Turnovers10
Explosive plays615
Yards on explosive plays144325

NU's QB is a UNLV transfer.  As noted, a good day.  He threw 3 TDs and was sacked twice.  He is a solid run threat as well.

Of their 74 plays, 42 were runs, which is a lot more passing than NU would have had before Rhule arrived, particularly with a lead.

Their punting was decent, with no return game to speak of.  Did not attempt any field goals.

Owen Chambliss, the all-MWC LB who transferred from SD State, will be back after missing the OU game.

The only time Nebraska lost to a MAC team was in 2017, when they lost to NIU, who is no longer a MAC team.

BG has never played them before.

The Huskers are 28.5 point favorites.


Monday, September 07, 2026

Past and Future Opponent Land

 Sep. 5 Tarleton State Texans (1-0)  We played them

Sep. 12 Nebraska (1-0) Beat OU 49-21

Sep. 19 Iowa State (1-0) Beat SE Mo 38-10

Sep. 26 USF Bulls (1-0) Beat FIU 19-9

Oct. 3 Miami (Ohio) RedHawks (0-1) Lost to Pitt 59-14

Oct. 10 Sacramento State Hornets (1-1) Lost to EMU, beat Mississippi Valley

Oct. 17 Ball State Cardinals (0-1) Lost to the Bucks

Oct. 24 Buffalo Bulls (1-0) Beat Albany

Oct. 31 Western Michigan Broncos (0-1)  WOW.

Nov. 10 Kent State Golden Flashes (0-1) Lost 57-0 to South Carolina

Nov. 20 Toledo Rockets (0-1) Lost 30-20 to MSU

Nov. 28 UMass Minutemen (1-0).  No shit.  Beat Rutgers


MAC vs. FCS: 2-1

MAC vs: P4:  1-7

MAC vs G?: 0-2

Sunday, September 06, 2026

BG Finds Defeat in Opener

It was a beautiful day with a nice crowd for the BG opener.  BG had opted to bring in a top FCS team for the opener.  More on that later.  BG's young team paid the price for that decision, falling behind 17-0 and ending up misexecuting a couple of comeback chances and then taking the defeat.

Everyone here knew what we were facing.  The world did not, and we are unfortunately featured on the "can you believe this" part of the highlight shows.  Which hurts the pride, to be sure.  And it might not have been surprising that this Falcon team lost yesterday, but there is also the question of how we got this Falcon team.

BG came out flat.  They got the ball to start the year and did not score a touchdown on the return.  Four plays into the drive, they did what they could not do, which is turn it over.  Dendy fumbled, Tarleton took the ball, and nine plays later the Texans were up 7-0.

BG went 3 and out, and Tarleton--who punted only once--turned it over on downs at the BG 42.  BG took it to the TS 37 (and into the 2nd quarter) before punting a touchback.

Coach mentioned the defense giving up explosive plays as a problem, and we saw it here.  TSU completed a 38-yard pass (net 28 due to a holding penalty), ran for 13 on the next play, passed for 20 a couple plays later to the BG 2.  BG bowed up and made the stop and TS made it 10-0.

BG took the next kickoff and drove to the 50 before punting TSU down to the 1.  Here is one of the key plays of the game.  Situationally, when you have a team on their own 1, you are looking to score, either on defense or when you get the ball back. Down 10-0, this is a shot.

What happened was BG gave up a 72-yard run that led to a TD five plays later, and from, say, 10-3, it was now 17-0. 

There was 3:43 left in the half.  BG hooked up a 23-yard pass followed by a 29-yard pass, a 15-yard penalty, and then a couple of plays later a badly needed TD to at least keep the conversation open at 17-7, with TSU getting the ball.

BG's defense did what they needed...they took the Texans 3 and out to start the 3rd.  BG then went on a drive that I think illustrates how they want to play, with one exception.  Starting on their own 15, BG drove methodically upfield.  They converted third downs in the first 3 series (one on DPI). From the TSU 24, however, they ran into a familiar problem, which is converting drives into the end zone.  We lost a yard on a run, made two on a pass and threw incomplete on 3-9 and the FG made it 17-10.

13 plays, 68 yards, 8:09 elapsed.  3 points.

It illustrates why explosive plays are so important. Driving the ball that far in that fashion is hard.  You're more likely to not be able to continue to execute.

TSU started on their 20 off the kickoff and went 42 yards on first down.  From the BG 38, the Falcons tightened up, with a sack on 4th and 3 to get the ball back.

There is 2:16 left in the 3rd and a chance to tie it up. BG fumbled it on the first play and TSU had the ball right back. They got to the 9 before BG forced a FG and made it 20-10.

BG's offense was clicking now.  A nice pass to Scoby and then a game-high 17-yard run for Dendy, and BG was at the 22.  Again, though, BG could not take it farther and ended up with a FG to make it 20-13.

TSU took the ball back with 10:45 left.  They drove to the BG 43 and had 4th and 2.  They made an idiotic decision in my opinion.  That's a clear punting situation. They went for it and BG got the stop.

The next 7:49 is crazy.

Kastantin hit Sharp for 15 and Scoby for 20, and then there were two nice runs and BG was 3rd and 1 on the 8.  So, when you ask why do we have this team,  you have to realize we had two shots to make 1 yard inside the 10 and we didn't do it.  As Coach said after the game, you have to be able to make it.

Still, field position, right?  We could get another shot. There's 2:08 to play.

Except TSU went 83 yards on first down.  Credit to the defense, they kept working and BG used their timeouts. On 3rd and goal on the 7---even a made FG is game over--Cade Kostus forced a fumble that BG recovered in this end zone.

We actually did get another shot.

There was 1:40 left.  I know BG wanted to move controllably up the field, but I think this drive was poorly executed.  There was:38 left when we finally got to midfield. With :24 left BG was on the 42 and no timeouts.  A nice hook-and-ladder took it to the 23.

Kastantin threw a jump ball to the corner that was broken up.  Then with :09 left a short pass was luckily broken up.  And then on the last play BG threw it short of the end zone entirely (to the 8), which the Texans made the stop and won the game.

Even if BG scores either of those two drives, there's work to do, either a 2-pt conversion or OT.

And clearly not one play away from winning.

Every year, it seems, we have a vow that we are going to run the ball.  And every year, it seems not to happen.  BG ran 67 offensive plays, and 37 were runs. And on those plays, BG averaged 2.8 yards per carry. Bad math there. Dendy ran for 4 yards per carry (15 for 60), but the other 22 plays were 2.5 per carry.

On the 30 passes, Kastantin was effective. He was 24 of 30, no INT and no sacks. That's 10.9 yards per completion, not too bad. On the last drive, I'm not sure who was behind the short passes, but we should have been trying to score from the 10, not the 23, and probably should have thrown the last one in the end zone.  Overall, he kept the offense afloat when we couldn't run.

He clearly has chemistry with Jeremiah Scoby, who caught 10 on 11 targets, 102 yards and 89 after the catch.

The defense was victimized on big plays.  Defining an explosive play as 10+ on a run and 20+ on a pass, both teams had 7 explosive plays.  But BG's were for 144 yards (39% of total offense), and TSU's were for 290 yards, or 63% of their offense.  Coach promised to address what he called a "disappointing" part of the game.  The defense won its share of the battles, held the opponent to 20 points, but did not play complementary football when TSU was pinned deep.

The Texans had 7.8 yards per rush. 

Special teams seemed decent.  TS was pooching the kickoffs, so not much there. BG's 3 punts were solid, with one to the 1yard line.  We nailed 35 and 40 yard FGs.

Last thing.  To read an interesting critique of why we were playing Tarleton State at all, read @JamesNahikian on twitter last night.  According to him, last year (as in, when you knew they had a good program) we put them on the roster and paid them $360,000 to make the trip.  His question--why did we play these guys at all?  

To illustrate, Miami is playing Holy Cross, 3-9 last year and 0-2 this year, aggregate score of 70-20.

Vibes are not good right now.  The honeymoon with George ended with last year's losing streak and picked up where it left off this year.  We could be 0-5 before Sacramento State comes to town.

Friday, September 04, 2026

Tarleton Preview

Here we go!  Here are some quick points to help prepare for the Texans.  

This is a good FCS team.

They are ranked #5 in the nation right now.

Last year, they were 12-2, 7-1 in conference play, won one game in the NCAA (beating North Dakota) before losing to Villanova by 5.  Also, they beat Army.  But, that was with a different set of guys.

Of the 63 players in the NSD class (that's correct) were, 37 are on defense, 23 on offense, and three for special teams. 

Of the 63, 54 are transfers and nine are high school signings. Of the transfers, 17 are joining Tarleton State from the FBS level, 10 are staying in the FCS, nine are from NCAA Division II and 16 are from the JUCO ranks.

Starting RG Terrence Saunders transferred from EMU.  They also have a transfer from Findlay (Desmond Brown). 

They are co-favorites in the UAC.

They have five players on the pre-season All-UAC team.

RB Tylan Hines, 184 yards and 2 TD on 25 carries in openers

DB Omar Emmons, DNP in opener and is not listed on the depth chart

OL Aidan Moe.  Starts at LT

P  Charlie Mullen--one punt for 40 yards in opener.  Averaged 39 YPP last year.

KR  DeAndre Buchannon.  Returned 2 for 76 last week, long of 45.  Transferred from West Georgia.

The QB is Kaden Anderson, a four year starter at Wyoming. Had a big game against Prairie View but was #118 in passing efficiency last year in FBS.

Marquis Willis had 6 catches for 109 yards and 2 TDS. He's a JUCO transfer.

They led the nation in FCS last year, with a turnover margin of +2 per game.  Whether that carries over remains to be seen.

Important:  they gave up 6.7 yards per carry in the opener.  The top back for PV had over 9 yards per carry. BG's offense needs to show up tomorrow and I like the BG's chances.

Tuesday, September 01, 2026

Getting to know the opponent: Tarleton State.

Tarleton State is in the Texas A&M system in Texas.  We don't have this in Ohio....in Texas they have six.  That includes the University of Texas system (Austin, Arlington, UTEP, Rio Grande...nine in all), the Texas State system, (seven schools, Texas State, Sam Houston State, Lamar), the Texas A&M system (including East Texas, Prairie View, Tarleton, Texas A&M Corpus-Christi, and seven others).

It was founded in 1877 by John Tarleton, a prominent local settler.  As seen below.



He also had a pet duck named Oscar P., who is buried next to him.

It became a university in 1973 and is located in Stephenville.  Die-hard football fans will be familiar with Stephenville, because it is the school where Art Briles won four state championships.   Other notable people include Jewel, Brock Holt, Kevin Kolb, three world champions in rodeo, and Jarrett Stidham.

Tarleton has been D1 since 2020, after 26 years in DII.  They are the Texas, but were once known as the Plowboys.  (Until 2019, their women's teams were the TexAnns.)  They have a 24,000 seat stadium and put 20+ in it three times a couple years ago.

They play in the UAC which is a football only partnership between ASUN and WAC.  Tthey won the UAC last year and beat North Dakota in the 2nd roiund of the NCAA tourney before losing in the quarters to Villanova. 

They were 12-2 last year and finished #6 in the FCS polls.

They are coached by Todd Whitten.  He has coached there for 16 years with a 151-87 record.  He went to SFA where he was a QB and was drafted in baseball and signed a UDFA with New England.  He played one game during the strike.

He is in the SFA hall-of-fame.  He has been coach of the year 7 times.