WMU Game, where we are now

There's no point in going through a recap of yesterday's game.  BG led by 9 with 16 minutes left against the worst team in the MAC. Over the next 16 minutes, they were outscored 38-18 and lost by 11, giving WMU their first road win of the season in a WALKAWAY.

There is virtually no chance for BG to make it to Cleveland.  They would need to at least win one over OU or UT and that could not look less likely to happen. Even with one win, it would take a lot.  Basically, we need to beat out CMU or Miami, who each have six wins and also play each other.  The loser of that game has to lose their other game. Also, NIU and EMU have 5 wins.  EMU plays CMU, so one of them gets to six wins also.  In a Miami, EMU and BG three-way tie, BG would get the spot.

But that's not really relevant. Because the reason you want to get to Cleveland is because the regular season doesn't matter that much and what really matters is winning three games in Cleveland, and if you get there you have a shot.

Except in this case. There's no reason to think that BG has a shot to make that happen.  It would be the kind of thing they would have a movie about.

• They have lost six straight and 8 of 9. They last lost 7 straight in Huger's opening season.
• They are now ranked #284 in the country, the lowest since at least 2002. Orr, Dakich, never this low.
• We are likely to finish 5-15 in the MAC.  That's our worst MAC season since Dakich's last season.
• This happens in a year when the MAC is the 20th ranked conference, the lowest since at least 2002

So, you know, pull a miracle and play UT in the first round, possibly finishing the year with two losses to the Rockets in a row.

In fairness, this team expected to have Fields and Matheny in action.  But that's only part of the story.  They should not be struggling like this.

If you want my guess--and I have no inside information whatsoever--I think Huger and Moos will both be back next year.  But that's just a guess.

The problem becomes, how does this ship get righted.  You have a risk of player outflow either way and you saw this year the downsides of a bunch of transfers.  We're not in a great spot.