Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Falcons Win Season's Third...

The men's basketball team at BG picked up its 3rd win of the season last night in the Stroh....where in fact, the Falcons are now unbeaten in three attempts.  BG's 3rd D-1 win didn't come until December 30 last year.

Detroit was picked to finish second-third in the Horizon League.  They are, however, playing pretty short-handed.  They started with just 4 guys on the bench, and then Nick Minnerath was injured two minutes into the game and did not return.  Shot block specialist LeMarcus Lowe also was in foul trouble all night, so it was a skeleton crew of Titans on the floor last night.

BG bolted to a 17-7 lead as Detroit made 9 turnovers in the game's first 7 minutes.  BG had its 8-minute offensive drought in the first in this game, going from 9:48 to 1:42 without a field goal and being outscored 17-3.  The Falcons trailed by only one at the half.

BG had trouble scoring out of the locker room as well, and Detroit built a five-point lead, but Scott Thomas nailed a 3 to settle that down.  BG eventually opened a six-point lead with 9 left on a James Erger trey (!!!) but Detroit tied the game at 50 and 52.  The latter came with about five minutes left, and BG went on a 5-0 mini-run (Black nice touch in the lane and Calhoun three-ball) and BG had the lead with 2:29 left.

The game's key possession came inside 90 seconds when Evan Bruinsma missed a game-tying three and Jordan Crawford went and got the board on the weak side.  BG ran clock, and Calhoun ended up drawing a foul and nailing both free throws giving BG a five-point lead with :39 left and at that point, the game was largely over and Detroit never had the ball with a chance to tie again.




Make no mistake, BG won the game on its defensive end of the floor.  BG held Detroit to .89 points per possession, which would have been our sixth best D1 game last year.  Detroit shot under 40% from the field (37%) and under 30% (28.6%) from beyond the arc.  They also had 21 turnovers, which means that on nearly 31% of their possessions, they didn't even get a shot up.

What was troubling was the fouls.  I was having Dan Dakich PTSD flashbacks as our man to man defense committed a lot of fouls due to being out of position.  BG gave up 25 fouls and 25 free throw attempts, and unlike Austin Peay, Detroit was good, hitting 19 of those 25 shots and holding a  +6 advantage at the line (which includes Detroit's last minute fouls).  Without that, the game is not as close as it was.

When the Dakich team had this issue, it was because we were less athletic than our opponents and insisted on playing man.  I think our man defense is getting results this year, so I hope that as we get more comfortable, we can foul less.

On the offensive side, BG had .98 points per possession, which is better than last year's number, though for much of the game it certainly didn't feel like it.  BG only shot 40% for the game, and, in a little anomaly, actually shot better on 3-FG than it did on 2-FGs.  Rebounds were pretty even...BG built the victory on a slight shooting advantage and taking better care of the basketball.



A'uston Calhoun had a slow start but ended up with 14 points and six rebounds while Scott Thomas had 11 points, 5 rebounds and 3 steals.  Perhaps the game's key performance, however, came from Craig Sealey, who had 9 points and 9 rebounds in 24 minutes of play, including a couple of key baskets when we needed them.  He seems to be able to find a mid-range jumped and get it down when nothing else is working for BG.

Cam Black had 4 points and six rebounds in 22 minutes.  He showed a couple of times his really nice touch in the paint on the offensive end, but when he is on the floor, we don't ever seem to get the ball down there.  I'm not sure whether that's by design or if the issue is with his positioning or with the feeders, but I think there is clearly upside remaining with him.

BG used 11 players in the game, which is more depth than we had used very early on.

So, BG has a chance to sweep this little string of "tournament" games with a win against a very good GW team tonight.  (The CBE "title" was actually awarded last night).  They are also 2-0 in this string of games, and will present a very good challenge for our team.

So far, BG has beaten two teams they lost to last year, is playing well at home, and is playing good defense.  It may well be, when all is said and done, that this team will only win consistently by grinding out defensive victories, because we don't have anyone who has consistently shown the ability to be a pure scorer.  But, if Thomas and Calhoun and whoever else gets hot can string a few baskets together and the team defends well, then we can have a competitive season.

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Make Time for the Titans....

This was going to be the year for the Detroit Mercy Titans.  It looked like Butler might be ready to release its stranglehold on the Horizon, and there was lots of talent coming back from a 17-16 team in Detroit.  They have a proven coach (all-time MAC great Ray McCollum) with at least two marquee players.

Things are not quite working out like that.  First, Eli Holman, their star C (Kelvin Sampson Indiana refugee) was suspended "indefinitely" for an incident on campus.  He has not played and is not expected to play this week.  On top of that, Chris Blake, who contributed 10 points per game last season off the bench has also not played and is not expected to dress this week.

The result of that has been a 2-2 start for the Titans....but both wins were over non-D1 competition.  They lost to Notre Dame and yesterday to George Washington, a game where they trailed at one point by 26 points before rallying to cut the lead to 6 late before losing by 13.

So, it is hard to tell exactly what they do have, absent Holman and Blake.  GW might have been their first honest test.  FWIW, the lost to the Irish was only by 6 points.

Last year, BG and Detroit played at Calihan Hall as part of another "tournament" experience.  BG was in a deep doldrum at the time, and the Titans won by 9.  BG managed only .8 points per possession, their 6th worse offensive performance of the season.  Holman had 13 points and 14 rebounds in that game.  Detroit did not shoot especially well, but BG had 27 fouls and they shot 30 free throws.

The Titans are led by Ray McCollum Jr, the pre-season Horizon POY.  He is tied for the team scoring lead with Chase Simon, who scores but uses a lot of possessions.  Senior F Nick Minnerath was looking to pick up the inside slack and he is also scoring about 15 points per game.  (He was the lead scorer for Detroit last year when BG played them).

It is hard to garner much from their stats so far because they are inflated by the two non-D1 games.  Last year, they were a solid offensive team and a less than solid defensive team.  They gave up almost 1.2 points per possession to GW last night, but that's a pretty good team.

Like the Howard game, this game gives us a clear opportunity to see where we stand compared to last season.  This game is at home and Detroit is short handed compared to last year.  By no means will this be an easy game....Vegas has the game as a toss up,  and AccuScore took the trouble to simulate the game 10,000 times and thinks BG wins 60% of the time.  It is an excellent opportunity for us to see where we stand.

Falcons Score Points, Beat Austin Peay

There might not be a more powerless feeling in sports than when you're team can't score points.

Long scoring droughts that last forever, open looks falling off the rim, contorted shots in the key that don't even get close, careless turnovers away from the basket...it almost begins to feel like there is an invisible force, a hidden hand, that is directing what is happening.  Or not happening.

BG fans, it is safe to say, are not unfamiliar with this feeling.  BG wants to build its game on defense, and really one has one pure scorer on its roster.  And so, these scoring droughts are endemic, part of the overall weather pattern.

Last night against Austin Peay, it happened right out of the locker room.  BG had finished the first half on a strong 13-4 run to head into the locker room up 7 after trailing by as much as 8 early on.  The half ended on a Scott Thomas steal and dunk...the kind of thing that sends the team off the floor with some momentum.

BG came out of the locker room, however, and went 5:59 agonizing minutes without scoring and lead by just 1 point.  Nine missed shots and two turnovers....

For BG last night, the player who pulled them out of this funk was someone who was pretty unlikely.  Redshirt freshman Anthony Henderson drilled two treys less than a minute apart (his first collegiate points).  Both came with the game tied, and after the second BG never trailed again.

In fact, for all the difficulty of the first six minutes, BG scored 30 points in the final 11 minutes to win the game, 82-72.



It was a night when BG needed all of those points.  In his pre-game interview, Coach Orr said "we're a man to man team" but some of what he saw out there against Peay last night might have made him question that.  BG players were torched in space several times and there was no help side defense at all, leading to easy baskets for the Governors.

Peay shot over 50% for the game, and got to the free throw line 27 times on only 20 BG fouls, all symptoms of a struggling BG defense.  The saving grace for the Falcons was that the Governors only made 14 of those free throws.  If they convert even a decent percentage, the game is much closer coming home.

The game had 74 possessions which is very fast paced for a Falcon game.  BG ended up scoring 1.1 points per possession, while holding Austin Peay to .97.  BG was actually 8 of 13 from beyond the arc--a well-known weakness--and that contributed to the game being a wash in terms of EFG%.  Peay turned the ball over on 25% of their possessions, as compared to 19% for the Falcons.

BG continued to show improved rebounding, especially in the first half, and ended up +3 for the game. The Falcons had numerous second chance points in the first half.  Finally, though, Peay shot 27 free throws compared to BG's 14, but only generated a +4 advantage from all those extra free throws.


A'uston Calhoun, who had struggled in the opening games, finally broke out with 19 points and 7 rebounds on 8-18 shooting.  He uses a lot of shots to get where he is going, but for us to win, it seems as if he just needs that many touches.  Dee Brown also had a nice game with 17 points and Scott Thomas had his usual line with 11 points, seven rebounds, two assists and three steals.  Jordan Crawford had 7 assists and only 3 turnovers.

The Falcons get right back at it tonight, with the Detroit Titans at the Stroh.  The Titans beat the Falcons last year at Calihan Hall and are not off to the start that was expected in some quarters.  We'll take a look at the Titans a little later today, but for now the Austin Peay win was a nice one.  As I said in their preview, I think they would be a pretty decent MAC team, so getting the win was good for our team.  If BG can keep Calhoun involved, then we stand a lot better chance at offensive production that will take the pressure off our defense to play lights out every single night.

Monday, November 21, 2011

Falcon Football....game notes out

The game notes are out for Friday's finale against Buffalo.  Just a quick note to say they are not showing any major changes.  Samuel, Gates and Martin, each of whom was injured at the end of the OU game are still listed in their normal spot.  I'm not sure that's a confirmation that they will play, but time will tell.  We might hear more this week.

'ello Guvunnah

The Falcons start the Progressive CBE Classic tonight against Austin Peay, who we have never played before.

First, a litte background on Peay.  They are in the Ohio Valley Conference and the school is located in Tennessee.   Austin Peay was a Governor of Tennessee, so their nickname is the Governors.  (He was the only Governor in Tennessee to die in office, and signed the law that caused the Scopes trial).  Anyway, wikipedia says that their fans chant "Let's go Peay" but I'm thinking that is a  little prank someone at Morehead State is playing.

Basketball-wise, this is a very solid program.  Since 2000, they have only been under .500 only twice.

They have 20 wins in 3 of the last 5 seasons and played in the '03 and '08 NCAA tourneys.

For a successful program, they have great stability at coach.  Dave Loos is the head Governor and he has been there for 22 years.  I always wonder how that happens...and why no team in the MAC ever seems to be able to pull of keeping a coach they want to keep.

Anyway, this is a very solid basketball program and they appear to be poised for a good year.

They were picked to win the OVC this year, coming off a 20-win season last year that put them into the CBI.  Both their own conference media and College Basketball Prospectus have them picked to win the OVC.

Now, what makes this interesting is that the OVC is the 27th ranked conference (out of 33) and the MAC is the 20th, so the task is to try and project how the Guvs would be if they played in the MAC. (BG is 12-8 all-time against the OVC, Peay 11-20 against the MAC).

They finished last year with an RPI of 138, which would have put them around 4th in the MAC.  This year, the Crazy Uncle College Basketball method predicts their RPI to be 117 which would be sixth in the MAC.

All this is just to say this.  They are a good program, very competitive, and would be a good MAC team.  We are playing them on our floor, and if BG is going to surprise people in the MAC, I think this is a good test.

Austin Peay was a strong offensive team last year. scoring 1.05 points per possession, which is in the top third of the country.  They play relatively upbeat at 70 possessions per game.  Much like BG, they were not effective from beyond the arc and got a lot of their points from 2-FG.   They were very good on the offensive boards.

On defense, they were very good, ranking 43rd in the country with .96 points per possession.  They defend the shot well and also forced turnovers on 24% of their opponent's possessions.  They get a lot of steals as well.

From that team they lost only one starter.  They start 3 Srs and 1 Jr.  Also, F Anthony Campbell missed most of last season with an injury and he is back and is listed as a pre-season all-OVC selection, though he is off to a slow start and is not projected to start in their game notes.

This year, they are 0-3 and have yet to play a home game.  They lost to Middle Tennessee State by 9, a ranked Cal by 17 and Oral Roberts by 12.

Their top player is TyShawn Edmondson, who was all-OVC last season and is a pre-season pick this year.  He was second in the OVC in scoring last year, and while he was only 20th in offensive efficiency, he did lead the conference in 3s made.

This year, their leading scorer is Josh Terry, who has scored 14 points per game and been in double figures in every game.

Their projected starters are small--no one over 6'6", but they have size on the bench, including 6'9" John Fraley who has averaged 10 RPG this year.

Bottom line is that this is a very solid basketball team and is well coached.  For BG to win, they are going to have to get the ball into the paint for points, which they have not done yet, and then play very strong defense.  We have been playing better defense, but BG simply has to find a way to score more easily or it won't beat teams like this.

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Draft Blogpoll Ballot, hit the comments if you have ideas

Former and Future Opponent Land


Idaho (2-9)--Lost at Kibbe to Utah State in OT
Morgan State (5-6)  Lost 42-18 to Hampton
Wyoming (7-3)  Won 31-10 over New Mexico
Miami (4-7) Lost in Oxford to WMU
WVU (7-3) No game.
WMU (6-5) Win @ Miami.
Toledo (7-4)  Beat CMU
Temple--(7-4)  Beat Army
Kent (5-6)  Beat overrated EMU team at the Dix.
NIU--(8-3)  Beat BSU.
Buffalo (3-8) Killed, I mean killed Akron, inciting Interent riot to fire Ianello, called iCoach.

MAC vs:

All out of conference: 22-30
All FBS:  10-30
All FCS: 12-0
All BCS: 3-27