Wednesday, July 25, 2007

Springing back to life---Falcon Football picked 5th in East by MAC Media

Well, the news is out. The gurus in the MAC media awakened us all to MAC football again by making their picks for this season. Always--always, always, always, always--these picks are more about last year than this year. No one, for example, saw Kent coming last year, or WMU, for that matter.

So, below you can see how the MAC picked. My comments:

First, on the Falcons. Given what is known now, I just don't think you can argue the pick too much. Should Temple have gotten a first place vote and not BG? No, course not. Could we have been fourth? Yeah, maybe.

The question is, based on what we KNOW today, was the pick reasonable? And I submit it was.

Falcon fans believe that our defense was young and is rallying as it matures, and is going to be fast and have some talent. But there is no reason for an observer to know that, or even believe it until they see it.

Falcon fans believe that with with new tools on offense, one of the QBs will take control, and we can start to move the ball again like we used to. But there is no reason for an observer to know that, or even believe it until they see it.

Falcon fans believe that the special teams will be better. But, even if the kickers are better, poor execution by the other 10 guys on punts and kickoff returns still needs to be corrected. And there is no reason for an observer to know that, or even believe it until they see it.

So, you get the idea. Based on what people have seen, there is no reason to think we are going to be much better. As fans, we believe it could happen--and it could.

As for the rest of the picks, I will weigh in briefly. I will make my own picks sometime close to when the season starts, but for the sake of comment.

  • The West remains the dominant division in the MAC.
  • I like WMU a lot. They are now well coached and Darnell clearly had talent there.
  • CMU may struggle. They lost quite a bit.
  • The Rockets will be interesting. They could still win the West.
  • I think OU is overrated, and any of five (or maybe four) teams could win the East. I feel the same way about Kent, maybe more.
  • There is a good chance that we won't really know what we have until October 13th. Our early schedule includes three games against the Big East and Big Ten, and one against a I-AA team. Assuming we get our revenge against Temple, the teams first test will be in Oxford against the Red Hawks...a crucial game in the new format.
  • Finally, under the new format, with only games in the division really counting, the pressure is on for all of those games. And injuries and little ups and downs will play a huge role--and what week they happen will really matter.

WEST (6-5-4-3-2-1 point value)

School Points First Place Votes

1. WMU 175 15

2. CMU 173 10

3. Toledo 138 6

4. Ball State 134 4

5. NIU 90 1

6. EMU 46 -

EAST (7-6-5-4-3-2-1 point value)

School Points First Place Votes

1. Ohio 216 15

2. KSU 203 13

3. Akron 171 6

4. Miami 163 1

5. BGSU 130 -

6. Temple 64 1

7. Buffalo 61 -


MAC Championship Game Winner:

Western Michigan 11

Central Michigan 10

Ohio 6

Toledo 5

Kent State 2

Akron 1

Temple 1

1 comment :

matt said...

I think BG is headed for big time improvement in 2007. The reason they went 4-8 was because of their offensive ineptitude. The defense was only marginally worse than it was in 2006 (an extra .7 points per game). The offense on the other hand dropped by over 14 per game. The culprit? Poor special teams--7.33 yards per punt return (14.06 for their opponents) and 17.57 yards per kickoff return (23.65 for their opponents), and also dumb luck. On offense they they scored a point for every 17.7 yards, easily the worst in the last 6 years (thanks Phil Steele). If Turner improves even marginally, and the defense stays where it is, they should finish no worse than third in the East.