Saturday, November 05, 2005

2005-6 Falcons Hoops Predictions

Thu 11/10/05 Western Carolina Blacksburg, Virginia
W
Sat 11/12/05 Virginia Tech Blacksburg, Virginia
L
Sun 11/13/05 Radford Blacksburg, Virginia
L
Sat 11/19/05 Urbana Bowling Green, Ohio
W
Wed 11/30/05 Oakland Bowling Green, Ohio
W
Sat 12/03/05 Bradley Peoria, Ill.
L
Sat 12/10/05 Arkansas-Little Rock Little Rock, Arkansas
L
Sat 12/17/05 Florida State Mobile, Alabama
L
Mon 12/19/05 Troy Troy, Alabama
W
Thu 12/29/05 Notre Dame (OH) Bowling Green, Ohio
W
Wed 01/04/06 Central Michigan Bowling Green, Ohio
W
Sat 01/07/06 Western Michigan Kalamazoo, Michigan
L
Wed 01/11/06 Northern Illinois Bowling Green, Ohio
L
Sun 01/15/06 Toledo Bowling Green, Ohio
L
Wed 01/18/06 Eastern Michigan Ypsilanti, Michigan
W
Sat 01/21/06 Ball State Muncie, Indiana
L
Tue 01/24/06 Buffalo Bowling Green, Ohio
W
Thu 01/26/06 Kent State Kent, Ohio
L
Sun 01/29/06 Akron Bowling Green, Ohio
W
Wed 02/01/06 Miami (Oh) Oxford, Ohio
L
Sat 02/04/06 Ohio Bowling Green, Ohio
L
Tue 02/07/06 Eastern Michigan Bowling Green, Ohio
W
Sat 02/11/06 Toledo Toledo, Ohio
L
Tue 02/14/06 Akron Akron, Ohio
L
Sat 02/18/06 Bracket Buster Bowling Green, Ohio Bracket BusterW
Tue 02/21/06 Kent State Bowling Green, Ohio
W
Sun 02/26/06 Buffalo Buffalo, NY
W
Wed 03/01/06 Miami (Oh) Bowling Green, Ohio
W
Sat 03/04/06 Ohio Athens, Ohio
L
Mon 03/06/06 MAC Tourn. 1st Round TBA

Thu 03/09/06 MAC Tourn. Quarterfinal Cleveland, Ohio

Fri 03/10/06 MAC Tourn. Semifinal Cleveland, Ohio

Sat 03/11/06 MAC Tourn. Championship Cleveland, Ohio


That all totals up to 14-15, 9-10 in the MAC. This scenario I am following is a team that starts poorly, and then gains strength as the season moves along, and the very young team matures and Brian Moten becomes eligible. Also, we could easily have won 2 of the 3 games in Blacksburg, but the team isn't health (no Wright or Dusan).

Therefore, January games at home against NIU and Toledo are listed as losses, but later in the year I think we could pick up wins against Kent and Miami at home.

This kind of season would be an accomplishment for this team. If somehow they finished over .500, it would be even better. Our out of conference schedule has some really poor teams--WCU, Radford, Troy and Oakland--which gives our team the chance to get some confidence.

One last concern. This pattern is absolutely contrary to how DD teams have played in the last few years, when we have started hot and then burned out as time went on. It would seem as if this is an especially big risk given the young players not used to the college season. My hope is that the success creates some momentum that overrides that.

We'll see how it rolls out. I'm looking forward to an additional diversion.

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