Saturday, October 13, 2012

Falcons Win

Huge win for the Falcons as Coach Clawson did something Urban Meyer and Gregg Brandon never did, which was beat Miami at the Doyt. And it was no contest by the time it was over. I wasn't at the game--I'm about 1,400 miles away at this minute. More tomorrow but for today I will just say that this was the kind of performance we needed We seemed to play 60 good minutes, stopped a high octane offense and moved the ball effectively. This is the team we thought we would this year. So, if you were disappointed before you have to give them credit now. Go Falcons!l

Friday, October 12, 2012

25 Questions that puzzle

What is their body of work?

Miami is 3-3.  They have wins over S. Illinois, Akron, and Umass and while that's not terribly impressive their losses are to OSU, UC and Boise, which is pretty tough.  They certainly were in a down position after the Shane Montgomery years, but in their second year under Coach Treadwell, they look to be getting better.

How many seniors and juniors on the two-deep?

26 which is a decent number.

Who are their statistical leaders?

Dysert is #15 in the nation in total offense.

What is their turnover ratio?

They are -1.  One three teams in the MAC have positive ratios.

Offense:

How is their QB Play?

Huge.  Dysert is 2nd in the MAC in total offense and 4th in passing efficiency.  He's only 2 yards away from being their top rusher.  He has been MAC East Offensive POW the last two weeks.  And he looks like AJ Hawk.

What is their scoring and yards per play?

In all games, they are 8th in scoring and 6th in yards per play in the MAC.  As noted previously this week, they have scored more in their MAC games and they are probably better than their overall record shows.

Can they run the ball?

They are not running effectively overall--last in the MAC in yards per game and 12th in yards per carry.  However, they are getting about 5 yards per carry in their MAC games, and that's the whole problem with knowing what you are getting, because that was also against Akron and UMass.

Do they pass the ball?

They can.  They have 3 really good WRs to go with Dysert.  I believe they will present a serious problem for our guys in coverage.

How is their run/pass balance?

Relatively pass heavy play calling. They run on 42% of their plays.

Do they convert on 3rd Down?

They are 15 of 26 in their MAC games.

Do they score in the red zone?

Same as everything else....they were good in their two MAC games, not so good against everyone else.

Do they protect the quarterback?

They have given up 16 sacks but that's on 236 attempts.  Equals out to 6.7% which is pretty high.

Defense:

Topline: Scoring and yards per play.

They gave up 49 to Akron but only 16 to UMASS.

Do they defend the run effectively?

Here the picture is a little clearer.  Akron ran for 7.2 yards per carry and UMASS over 5 yards (and 258 total).  I would think the Falcons are looking at extending the second half Zip strategy.

Can they be passed on?

They defended the pass well against UMASS but Akron torched them pretty good.

Do they get off the field on 3rd down?

They are allowing 16 out of 30 in their MAC games, which is not especially good.

Do they defend in the red zone?

BG is the worst offensive team in the MAC in the red zone. Miami's D was 0/5 against Akron.

Do they pressure the QB?

Not too much, they have sacks on only 2.5% of their opponent's passing attempts

Special Teams:

Punting?

They are 6th in the MAC in net punting.

Punt Return?

They are 10th in punt returns, though with the players they have it wouldn't surprise me if they weren't better than that.

Placekicking?

They have a good kicker.  He is 6 of 8 with 3 over 40 and a 45 yrd long.

Kickoff?

They are 11th. Teams start on the 27 against them. They have 9 touchbacks.

Kickoff Return?

They are starting on the 22 and are last in the MAC in KO returns.

Miscellaneous: Overall atmospherics and intangibles.

Well, the last time BG beat Miami at the Doyt was four coaches ago, which can't be a good sign.  However, as Coach Clawson mentioned, most of the guys on this team have only been there for one of those losses and that's all that matters to them.

How about this for an atmospheric?  BG hasn't won back to back FBS games since Clawson's first year here.  That's been a stumbling block.  You have to string wins together to succeed, and BG has not done that since the 2009 season.  So the question is, can this team bring a 60 minute game and play well enough to win two weeks in a row?

To me that's the biggest question.  I think BG can establish the run and if they can control the ball and get points, they have a shot.  It will be interesting to see how our defense performs against Dysert after a good day against Dalton Williams.

Falcon Injury Updates...

Via Falcon Fodder...

Heath Jackson will not play Saturday and might miss the rest of the season.

Bart Tanski will be back on the field.

Woods, Samuel, Hopgood, Roussos--all 4 guys have had injury issues but are expected to play.  Woods is only seeming limited practice and Roussos has been in a yellow jersey.

Thursday, October 11, 2012

Clawson Presser: Not much news edition

Coach didn't have much to say at the presser yesterday...I mean, he talked about Dystert, Harwell, etc. Here are the parts that might be interesting.

Obviously while he is pleased with the second half at Akron, we played an awful first half and we have issues getting good starts, and we need to fix that.

He doesn't see the team preparing harder for Miami as a rival.  He just thinks they focus better for the conference season.

With the Miami offense, it is hard to be right.  If you rush 3 than Dysert has lanes to run. If you rush more, he will throw out into the secondary to his very good receivers.

He had a lot of nice things to say about Boo Boo.  Some have noted that his tackle numbers are down, but Coach feels that is because our line is better and fewer plays are getting to his level.  Coach said he is versatile, can cover outside, can cover in the slot and can play the run and is a "security blanket" back at Safety.

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

RedHawks...coming down the pike

Those words send chills down the back of a Falcon fan.  The Miami Whammy, which has been in effect or latent effect every day for as long as any of us can remember, dating back perhaps to the day when we ran a play on 4th down because we thought it was 3rd down and if we had kicked a FG we would have won.


Anyway, there have been no end to the crazy results, most of them working against us (most recently the fog bowl and also the last grass game played at the Doyt when our kicker did the ole' Charlie Brown on a FG.  There was the MAC Championship game where our tacklers bounced off Big Ben while he completed one receiver routes in the middle of our defense.   Sigh.

BG won last year down in Oxford, but Miami has a 2-1 all-time lead in the series between the two schools.  If you see what I mean.  And they have won the last 6 in the Doyt.  The last time BG beat Miami in the Doyt GARY BLACKNEY was the coach.

And, just like last week, this is a game BG needs to have.  One of the points that Coach made in his Monday MAC Teleconference is that you have to be careful when you look at Miami's stats so far this year because they played a very tough pre-season schedule:  OSU, Boise, and UC.  Now, their 3 wins are over Southern Illinois, Akron and Massachusetts, so when you look at the MAC stats, you have to account for that as well.

A few observations.

First, they have a really good QB.  Zac Dysert is very good.  He is a true dual threat QB that will present challenges to the BG defense.  BG will need to get pressure on him without letting him get out of the pocket.  Against Akron, he had 500 yards passing and 100 yards rushing, which, as they say, are video game numbers.  

Now, this is the best defense he has faced in the conference yet.  I think the key is whether BG can get pressure on him with a 3 or 4 man rush.  BG was in the perfect situation Saturday--getting pressure with 3 rushers which means a hurried QB has to throw into an 8 man coverage, which is very difficult.

Another note.  Last year when we were in Oxford, we noted that Miami was having next to no success running the ball.  This year, in early returns, it is better, though they are still eighth in the MAC in yards per carry.  (Interesting note:  in conference games, 8 of the 12 teams in the MAC are averaging 5 yards per carry rushing.)

Now they are rushing for 202 yards per game and 92 of them are coming from Dysert, so you wonder about their backs.  They are running a true FR at TB--Jamire Westbrook--who was highly touted out of the Cincy area.  He had a good game against UMass but struggled against Akron.

Anyway, all that to say that if BG can hold the run game down as they did in the second half against Akron, you'd think that would help, though I do believe Dysert is capable of carrying them more so than any QB in the MAC.

Tuesday, October 09, 2012

The Falcon Defense--maybe better than you think


When asked about the Akron offense after the game Saturday Coach got a little, shall we say, prickly. He mentioned that our defense is pretty highly ranked.  Which it is.

This is something I think we tend to get a little bit myopic about.  Because Halfway through the season, and with a pretty tough schedule, let's look at how BG did.  It is pretty good.  The numbers would tell you that this is a very good defensive team, as seen on the field this year.

#1 in scoring defense.
#1 in yards per game allowed
#3 in yards per play allowed
#3 in rushing defense
#2 in yards per carry allowed
#3 in pass yardage per game
#4 in yards per passing attempt allowed
#4 in TD passes allowed
#4 in pass efficiency defense
#11 (tied) in Interceptions
#5 in 3rd down conversion
#7 (tied) with -2 Turnover margin
#3 in red zone trips allowed
#4 in red zone percentage
#4 in points per red zone trip allowed
#4 in sacks

This weeks BlogPoll is on THE AIR!


College Football Rankings 2011

Results for Week 6

# School Points/blog SD Delta
1 Alabama Crimson Tide (64) 24.37 1.43 --
2 Oregon Ducks (4) 23.20 1.65 --
3 South Carolina Gamecocks (7) 22.61 1.50 Arrow_up 4
4 West Virginia Mountaineers (1) 21.34 1.98 Arrow_up 4
5 Florida Gators (9) 21.23 2.03 Arrow_up 6
6 Kansas St. Wildcats (1) 20.23 1.81 --
7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (1) 19.47 2.21 Arrow_up 2
8 Ohio St. Buckeyes 16.74 4.67 Arrow_up 4
9 LSU Tigers 14.67 3.73 Arrow_down -5
10 Oregon St. Beavers 13.82 4.28 Arrow_up 3
11 Florida St. Seminoles 12.52 4.18 Arrow_down -8
12 USC Trojans 12.14 5.00 Arrow_up 2
13 Georgia Bulldogs 12.06 3.24 Arrow_down -8
14 Oklahoma Sooners 11.75 4.34 Arrow_up 3
15 Texas Longhorns 10.97 3.34 Arrow_down -5
16 Clemson Tigers 9.64 4.46 --
17 Stanford Cardinal 9.63 4.38 Arrow_up 1
18 Louisville Cardinals 8.95 3.67 Arrow_up 1
19 Mississippi St. Bulldogs 7.84 4.09 Arrow_up 2
20 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 5.85 3.64 Arrow_up 3
21 Cincinnati Bearcats 5.38 3.73 Arrow_up 5
22 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 3.78 3.80 Arrow_up 7
23 Ohio Bobcats 3.60 4.31 Arrow_up 2
24 Texas A&M Aggies 3.51 3.35 Arrow_up 6
25 Iowa St. Cyclones 1.68 2.63 Arrow_up 13
Others Receiving Votes: Boise St. Broncos | Baylor Bears | TCU Horned Frogs | Michigan Wolverines | Arizona St. Sun Devils | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Michigan St. Spartans | Duke Blue Devils | Penn St. Nittany Lions | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | N.C. State Wolfpack | Northwestern Wildcats | Nevada Wolf Pack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Nebraska Cornhuskers | Oklahoma St. Cowboys | Northern Illinois Huskies | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Toledo Rockets | San Jose St. Spartans | Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners | UAB Blazers
Updated: Oct 9, 2012 9:46 AM EDT