Saturday, January 29, 2005

Hasselbeck vs. Harrington

The main drawback for the Dump Joey Nation is that there is no one who is clearly better available. No one thinks Drew Brees is leaving SD, and the only other name QB is Matt Hasselbeck...unless you want to start over with a rookie. By the by, don't expect Ben-like success on this team...the pieces aren't quite as put together.

Here are Hasselbeck's numbers for the last three seasons for QB rating.

2002---87.8
2003---88.8
2004---83.1

Here are this TD/INT numbers.

2002---1.5
2003---1.73
2004---1.47

He's 30 years old. What I see here is someone who you can put it, and you know what you will get. The leaque average QB rating is 84.8, so he's just a little above average. He doesn't have a great cast in Seattle, but he does have Shaun Alexander and some decent receivers. You certainly wouldn't expect him to come to Detroit and do BETTER than this, and his career may be on a downswing based on 2004 numbers.

Now let's look at Joey.

2002---59.9
2003---63.9
2004---77.5

Here are this TD/INT numbers.

2002---.75
2003---.77
2004---1.58

Joey is 27. Now, I'm not saying Joey is going to be a franchise QB. What I am saying is that he's on an upward vector. If his numbers go up what they did last time, his totals will equal Hasselbeck's best year. With Harrington going up, and Hasselbeck slightly headed down, there is no move to be made here.

What about Jeff Garcia? That's the kind of thing we might do, but it would be typical of the idiotic management of this team.

Here's what I think will happen:

1) We keep Joey, he starts.
2) We sign a veteran backup, and cut McMahon
3) We draft a low-round project QB to be the next generation.

What you're looking for is the next Tom Brady, right? One thing is Brady is built like a big-time QB @ 6-4, 225. With that, you are probably looking realistically at the guys in bold below. (This is a draftshowcase.com ranking).

8 Stefan LeFors + Senior Louisville 6'0 201
9 David Greene + Senior Georgia 6'3 230
10 Ryan Fitzpatrick + Senior Harvard 6'2 221
11 Derek Anderson + Senior Oregon State 6'6 240
12 Gino Guidugli + Senior Cincinnati 6'3 225
13 Jason White + Senior Oklahoma 6'2 225
14 Stan Hill + Senior Marshall 6'3 215
15 Brock Berlin + Senior Miami 6'1 211
16 Jon Beutjer + Senior Illinois 6'5 225
17 Matt Jones + Senior Arkansas 6'6 237
18 Timmy Chang + Senior Hawaii 6'2 200
19 Walter Washington Junior Temple 6'2 240
20 Danny Wimprine + Senior Memphis 6'1 216
21 Bryan Randall + Senior Virginia Tech 6'0 213

I have seen Hill and Washington myself, and don't like their chances. I also don't think Jason White is the guy at all, same with Brock Berlin. Sometimes the guys at the big schools don't fill the bill as sleepers, because they have played better competition and have a better defined upside. Then again...Tom Brady.

Draftshowcase.com also lists this intriguing guy....

ONE TO WATCH:
North Dakota's John Bouwenkamp is a good athlete with good size (6'5, 226) and a solid arm. Questions about his level of competition will hurt him but he could be a good developmental prospect.

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