FalconBlog--Triumphs and Trials in the BGSU Falcon Nation

Could Falcons clinch on November 5

I've done a little research on the standings. I'm nervous--really nervous--about us dropping the last two games to Miami and Toledo, and ending up losing the East. So, I wanted to check and see if there was anyway for us to clinch the division at Kent on November 5.

The answer is, there is, but it isn't likely. But we could have it clinched before we play Toledo.

The East Standings today are:

BG (3-0)
Akron (2-2)
Miami (2-2)
Ohio (1-2)
Kent (0-3)
Buffalo (0-3)

OK, play this out. We beat Western, Akron and Kent. We are 6-0, with a worst possible record fo 6-2. Akron would have three losses, so they don't catch up. OU could end up with two losses, but we beat them, so we get the tiebreaker. And that leaves Miami. They have two games left before our 11/15 clash in Oxford. The toughest is coming right up, when they play at Eastern this Saturday. They host Buffalo on 11/5, which should be a win.

But Eastern, on the road--that's not a pushover. Should Miami win? Yes. But, EMU has played Cincinnati tough, beaten a surprising Central team, and not done badly against NIU on the road. And this isn't the best Miami team.

So, if Eastern can beat Miami, and we win our next three games, then we would have the East clinched on 11/5.

Now, let's say the worst happens. Miami wins its next two games and beats us. Then, we have one loss, and they have two losses--and they own the tiebreaker. We play UT on 11/22 at the Doyt--but they play their rival, OU, in Athens, the night before. If they were to lose to OU in the game (also a distinct possiblility) than we would be playing UT with the title already in hand.

Of course, at this point, we win our next four games (including Miami), and its over, no matter who beats who. But with our record in big road games, I'll take whatever help I can get. My goal for our team is a MAC championship. To do that, we have to win the East. However we have to.