Season Prognostications: Various scenarios
The OMG-Mike-Jinks-Forgive-Us-We-Were-So-Wrong Season.
8-4, 7-1
Beat: EKU, Miami, Buffalo, Kent, Akron, Toledo, CMU, WMU
Lose: Oregon, Maryland, GaTech, Ohio
The Finally-Some-Progress Season
6-6, 5-3
Beat: EKU, Miami, Kent, Akron, CMU, WMU
Lose: Oregon, Maryland, GaTech, Ohio, Toledo, Buffalo
No-better-than-before Season
4-8, 3-5
Beat: EKU, Kent, Akron, WMU
Lose: Oregon, Maryland, GaTech, Ohio, Toledo, Buffalo, Miami, CMU
The-not-impossible-scenario
2-10, 1-7
Beat: EKU, Kent
Lose: Oregon, Maryland, GaTech, Ohio, Toledo, Buffalo, Miami, CMU, Akron, WMU
That's what those things look like. With the 3 P5 games, it is just tough for BG to rack up a huge record. Conference games are most important, so if you look at that 6-6/5-3 record, you'd have to feel at least OK with that. If you beat OU and maybe lose one of the cross-overs, you could end up with the East title.
That's going to be tough, though. Basically, you can only lose 1 game against Miami, Akron, CMU, WMU and Buffalo. If that can happen, it will be a very pleasant surprise.
Note that I have a win over Miami in the 6-6 scenario. I can't see us getting to 6-6 without that win. Essentially, it would probably mean a 1-5 start and I just think it would be very though to sustain that into the second half.
I don't think we go 2-10 but you can't rule it out.
If you want my guess, I think the 4-8 is most likely. Buffalo, Miami or CMU could be won and BG might be 5-7. I don't see us getting to 6-6, but perhaps I am wrong. It would be fantastic, that's for sure.
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