Thursday, October 17, 2019

25 Chippy Questions

 What is their body of work?

CMU is exceeding expectations this year.  They were picked to finish down with BG.  In fact, I thought this was one of the 4 games we had a shot at winning this year.  They were dreadful last year, going 1-11 and getting their coach fired.  Former Florida Coach Jim McElwain entered.  They are 3-3, with a nice win over EMU (42-16).  They played University of Miami very tough as well, losing 17-12.  They are exceeding expectations.

How many seniors and juniors on the two-deep?

They have 21...which is a very young team.

Who are their statistical leaders? (Top 20 Nationally)

Kalil Pimpleton is #13 in receptions per game.
Kobe Brown is #13 in rushing TDs
Troy Brown is #14 in solo tackles

What is their turnover ratio?

They are -5, which is eye popping.  Lost 9 fumbles.

Offense:

How is their QB play?

Well, that's interesting.  Their starter was David Moore, a JUCO transfer, but he was suspended for an illegal substance.  He's appealing and unless he is back, CMU will be helmed by Quinten Dormady, a transfer from Tennessee by way of Houston.  He did play in Knoxville and he's been effective at CMU.  He's completed 63% with a 5:1 TD:INT ratio, but only 9.9 per completion indicates a safe playcalling pattern.

What is their scoring and yards per play


They are scoring 28 per game on 5.7 yards per play.  That's an average NCAA offense.

Can they run the ball?

They are good.  They average 4.8 per carry, above NCAA average of 4.5.  They have two very solid lead backs, though.  Ward has 7.4 yards per rush and Lewis 5.0.  BG will need the same run defense it clamped onto UT Saturday.

Do they pass the ball?

See above.  Kalil Pimpleton is their possession WR with 46 receptions already and Tyron Scott gets over 17 a reception.

How is their run/pass balance?

This is a slightly run-oriented team, at 52% of plays.

Do they convert on 3rd Down?

They are average at 37%/

Do they score in the red zone?

They average 5 points per trip, which is average

Do they protect the quarterback?

They do protect well, giving up sacks on 4% of pass plays.

Defense:

Topline: Scoring and yards per play

Their scoring defense is 28 per game, which is about an average amount.  The locked U-Miami down and EMU...they are giving up 5.5 yards per play, which is a little bit above average.

Do they defend the run effectively?

They do.  They are very hard to run on, at 3.2 yards per carry.  That's #1 in the MAC and #19 in the NCAA.  BG's "success" on offense over the last 7 quarters has been driven by running the ball, and that will be a key Saturday.

Can they be passed on?

They are not great.  They are 92nd in pass efficiency defense, #5 in the MAC.  They allow 64% completions, at 11.4 per completion.  The percentage isn't great, but the yards per catch is good.  Also 14 TDS: 4 picks.

Do they get off the field on 3rd down?


Yes they do, 36%.  That's #5 in the MAC.

Do they defend in the red zone?

They are terrible in the red zone, allowing 6 points per trip.

Do they pressure the QB?

They go...they get sacks on 7.8% of passing attempts.

Special Teams:

Punting?

Not great.  They are 98th in net punting.  Distance isn't terrible, but 9 yards a return.

Punt Return?

They average 8.8 per return and have a block.

Placekicking?

He's 8 of 11, long of 54, two of those misses over 50.

Kickoff?

They start on the 25, which is pretty typical.

Kickoff Return?

They start on the 25, which is pretty typical.

Miscellaneous: Overall atmospherics and intangibles.

The elephant in the room is BG...the Falcons clearly played above their heads in the UT game.  How they react Saturday is a considerably different question.   Not that they will think they are over the hump and everything is solved...but how do you sustain that emotional high?  Or, we have turned a corner and can sustain at least better play moving forward.  We remain undermanned, etc, and this is a tough matchup for us on offense.  It will be interesting to see, but I'm looking forward to a game more than I have in a couple of years.  Would be great to get some of those fans back after finally winning a big game at home...

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