Friday, February 27, 2015

MAC Standings, 3 games left!


So, things begin to shake out a little more, but still a lot of work to do.  That UT loss on Wednesday was really tough.  That's at home to a team they really should beat.  They have only one home game left now.

For BG, they are in 3rd right now.  For whatever it is worth, they have clinched home court.  Tough road ahead, though.  BG has a hot Miami team on the road, Kent at home and then a hot Buffalo team on the road.  They have a two-game lead on Akron and WMU and a one-game lead on Buffalo.  Head to head BG wouldn't beat Akron but would beat WMU in tie-breaker, but the most likely possibility is a multi-way tie.

So, obviously, if BG wins out they get a bye.  With 2 wins, they could finish no worse than 5th, and if BG had 2 wins and one of them was @Buffalo, they would clinch a bye.  With two wins and a loss to Buffalo it gets a little more complicated but a tiebreaker results with Toledo and Buffalo in it, and that's not great for BG.

BG could get a bye with one win, but that gets really tough to decipher at this point, based on how other teams do.

So, here's your rooting interest right now for Saturday.

To begin with, the BG-Miami game is huge.  This is the most likely win left on the schedule and the Falcons need it very badly.  This is one of the bigger games in years for this program.

First, it depends on what you are shooting for.  Here, we are shooting for one of the four byes and therefore are rooting for Kent to beat Buffalo.  If Buffalo wins, it is not the end of the world, because Kent could easily lose all 3 going home and one of those games is with BG and that would probably end up with BG getting a bye.

We are also rooting for Ohio over Akron and EMU over WMU, although in both cases that means rooting for road underdogs.  Toledo should beat Ball at Savage...but then again...and CMU is @NIU, again, very winnable, but who knows.

1 comment :

Ken said...

Typo here: "To begin with, the BG game is huge."