Because we don't get players who are one and done (or three and done) very often, MAC hoops tends to be very senior dominated. A team with productive seniors will win its share of games.
This observation is bolstered by recent developments out of BG:
The last two times we have seriously challenged for or won a division title were last year (Miller, Clements, Moten) and the Reimold-Almanson year.
Conversely, our Dark Years of Infinite Frustration were when no one stayed long enough to become a senior.
With that in mind, a couple of fact nuggets for you. First, let's look at how much scoring and rebounding each team lost since last year. (Note this counts transfers....especially hard hit was CMU).
A few thoughts here. The Rockets were awful AND they lost a lot. BG and Miami at least had something to show for their senior domination. OU was hit a little harder on the rebounding side. And look at Akron down there, bringing tons back from a really good team.
I'm telling you, Keith Dambrot is going to build himself a new job soon.
Now, I am a big fan of statsheet.com. This guy has excellent data on college hoops, and he is fully on board with the latest ways of looking at the game---notably tempo-free stats and the four key factors to winning.
Below is a little analysis he did of last year's MAC season, looking at winning percentage against average class per minute (ie, if you played only seniors, you would be a 4). There are certainly some odd data points, but look at the four teams on the far right of the chart to get an idea what I am talking about.
No comments:
Post a Comment