So here is where things stand. This is the best thing ever....
There are a myriad of things that could happen. As an aside, big multi-team tie-breakers are a recognized weakness of not having divisions. A lot comes down to a little. But that's what we have.
As a reminder, the MAC Tiebreaker Policy is here.
With two wins, BG is in, because Miami would have two losses. Miami would be the second team because they beat OU if it is head to head, but it's more complicated if WMU, UT or UB also finishes a with 2 losses.
There is a significant chance that there will be a tiebreaker at two losses. In fact, there's reason to think all of the 2 loss teams win out...leaving those three, plus OU (if they beat Ball State), and either BG or Miami assuming the loser of that game wins their other game.
Of course, it doesn't have to go that way. OU could beat UT. EMU could beat UB or WMU, especially UB @ EMU. Miami could lose to NIU. Ball State is a danger...all four of their conference losses have been by less than a TD.
Look...OU loses twice, BG or Miami twice, WMU, UB and UT once, and we have a tie-breaker at 3 losses...scenario requires UT to lose to Akron.
We will know more soon--in fact, by the time we head to Muncie, things will be much clearer.
Game on.
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