Overall, I did pretty well this year...I picked us to go 11-19 (not including final Cancun game and MAC tournament) and 6-12 in the MAC, and BG went 12-18 and 6-12. We will see in a minute if I just ended up right by being wrong, but in general, this was the season I expected. As I mentioned several times during the year, the team did exceed expectations in some ways. There were a bunch of close games and a couple nice wins. But, in the end, they finished where you would have expected.
Overall, I got 19 right and 11 wrong on a game by game basis. I did not expect us to beat WKU, @Morehead State, @WMU, @OU, @BSU or Kent....and I did not expect us to lose to IPFW, EMU, NIU, Miami, or @Miami. I don't feel too bad about this. BG surprised me playing as well on the road as they did...I didn't think Ball State would be that awful, and then BG surprised me playing as poorly as they did at home. NIU was better than expected, but still...
Anyway, that's how it totals up.
EARLHAM WIN RIGHT
Earlham is a DIII team that was 4-21 last year.
SOUTH FLORIDA LOSE RIGHT
BG threw away this game last year in Tampa. This year, the Bulls are not very good again but brought in a huge FR C and should beat BG.
AT WISCONSIN LOSE RIGHT
AT SAINT LOUIS LOSE RIGHT
VS PRESBYTERIAN WIN RIGHT
"Blue Hose" are picked to be last in the Big South. They are likely to be BG's first DI win this year.
WESTERN KENTUCKY LOSE WRONG
The Hilltoppers were 20-16 last year and bring four guys back. They were in the tournament last year. On our court, this one has a shot but this is an unlikely win.
AT XAVIER LOSE RIGHT
NORTH DAKOTA WIN RIGHT
The No Nicknames beat BG last year on their home floor. They are picked to be 2nd in the Big Sky and have uber star Troy Huff. He dropped 14 and 12 on BG last year. I'm going to take a shot and say BG wins this one on home floor.
AT MOREHEAD STATE LOSE WRONG
Bunch of new faces for Morehead. I'd say that this is a road game BG could steal but I see us struggling to win on the road.
DETROIT WIN RIGHT
Detroit has a bunch of new players, has to replace Ray McCallum and also had Jason Calliste transfer at the last minute.
AT WRIGHT STATE LOSE RIGHT
BG won this one at the Stroh least year. Wright State went on to win 20 games and could win the Horizon this year. Tough game for BG on the road.
IPFW WIN WRONG
Mastodons beat BG in bracket buster in Ft Wayne last year. Frank Gaines, who popped 26 on the Falcons last year is gone and BG should win this one at home.
EASTERN MICHIGAN WIN WRONG
This one could be close, but I will take BG on home court.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS WIN WRONG
NIU is expected to not be very good.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN WIN RIGHT
I would think BG also wins this on home floor.
Quick note here. The opening part of the schedule for BG is crazy easy. Three of the worst teams in the MAC, all at BG...and Miami in game 6, also at home. BG's last 12 games are all losable. BG could compete with Ball State and Miami--but both those games are on the road. Buffalo and Kent at home are not unwinnable. But, BG could easily be an underdog for every one of there last 12 games and a 12 game losing streak to end the season is not outside the realm of possibility.
AT WESTERN MICHIGAN LOSE WRONG
Paul and Hutcherson are both gone, but the Broncos good enough to win this in K-Zoo.
AT OHIO LOSE WRONG
Ohio may take a step back but the Bobcats will be tough to beat at home.
MIAMI (OHIO) WIN WRONG
Miami still in a rebuilding mode.
AT EASTERN MICHIGAN LOSE RIGHT
Eagles even the score at home.
BUFFALO WIN RIGHT
I don't know. The media doesn't seem that high on the Bulls but they have a lot of guys back and are Witherspoon-free. Take BG but its close.
AT TOLEDO LOSE RIGHT
The Rockets bottomed out and now are among the conference elite.
AKRON LOSE RIGHT
Akron still too strong for Falcons.
AT KENT STATE LOSE RIGHT
No chance at the MAC.
AT BALL STATE LOSE WRONG
This one is winnable. However, on the road, Ball State will be favorite.
TOLEDO LOSE RIGHT
See above.
AT MIAMI (OHIO) WIN WRONG
Can BG win on the road this year? This might be the best shot.
KENT STATE LOSE WRONG
AT AKRON LOSE RIGHT
No chance at the JAR.
OHIO LOSE RIGHT
AT BUFFALO LOSE RIGHT
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