So, when I was doing the last special teams review, I developed a theory. That theory was that it isn't the small yardage differences that you are really worried about. If you typically have 35 net yards on a punt, you don't really care if it is 31 or 39. What matters is when it is 20 or 50, or when a game changing play (touchdown, turnover, block) occurs.
On that idea, I hereby found the International Centre for Special Teams Research. I am planning to track special teams this year, based on this method. I will score each play....most plays will be worth no points, meaning that what occurred was in the neighborhood of what should be expected. Plays above that get positive points, plays below that negative.
The basic rule:
Scoring 6
Turnover/Blocked 3
Misc 2
Field position 1
Now for each type of play. (This is a work in progress, by the way!)
50 FG Made +2
40+ Made +1
40- Missed -1
Blocked -3
Missed XP -2
TD Allowed -6
Punting
TD Allowed -6
Blocked -3
Less than 25 net -1
More than 45 net +1
Inside 10 +2
Inside 20 +1
Turnover +3
Fake Punt work +3
Fake Punt Fails -3
Kickoffs
Inside 20 +1
TD Allowed -6
Outside 35 -1
Over 50 -2
Turnover +3
Rec onside kick +3
Kickoff Return
Inside 20 -1 (Touchbacks excepted)
TD +6
Outside 35 +1
Outside 50 +2
Turnover -3
Losing onside kick -3
Punt Return
TD +6
Blocked +3
Less than 20 net +1 (If return was a factor)
More than 45 net -1 (If return was a factor)
Turnover -3
Fake Punt works -3
Fake Punt Fails +3
FG Defense
Blocked +3
TD +6
Got it? OK, now let's take a look at the Bowling Green Troy Game.
So, what does this show us:
First, Bowling Green had three positive results....two punts inside the 20 and one return that got a 29 yard net on a punt. We had five negative plays...two poor kickoff returns and three poor kickoff coverage attempts, including one that broached into our territory. However, none of these were catastrophic, and a -2 score is probably pretty decent.
For Troy, the result is largely a flip. They get plusses for all those kickoff plays and one punt inside the 20, and get negative plays for a missed FG and the 29 yard net punt. Their plus 5 score is fair I think. Mostly through kickoffs, their special teams put their offense in excellent field position.
Now, I know we pooched some of those kicks. Why? Because we couldn't cover the earlier kicks. To me, that is simply a reflection of good special teams play. And, we pooched a kickoff on one occasion and when we got the ball inside the 30, we held the guy to reasonable field position. Even our pooch kicking needed improvement...we either didn't cover (the up man ran all the way across the field and made yards on one) or kicked it too short.
So there you go. The first report issued by the International Centre for Special Teams Research. Grant funding is being sought, but you can expect this to be an ongoing feature in coming weeks.
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